Val-de-Marne — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Val-de-Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| LR and allies | Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-de-Marne — 8ème circonscription | 43.0% | 34.3% | 20.0% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageVal-de-Marne | 12.6%+30.4 | 44.0%−9.7 | 22.9%−3.0 | 2.0%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2%+30.8 | 29.0%+5.2 | 36.0%−16.0 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Michel HERBILLON · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 8.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michel HERBILLON Elected | LR and allies | 24,722 | 44.1 |
| Joao MARTINS PEREIRA | Left (NFP) | 20,658 | 36.9 |
| Raphaël TURPIN | RN and allies | 9,085 | 16.2 |
| Olivier BUCLIN | RN and allies | 1,009 | 1.8 |
| Amandine CHEYNS | Far left | 546 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Paris — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Forecast updated