Paris — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Paris
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 24.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris — 8ème circonscription | 49.7% | 25.3% | 15.7% | 6.5% |
| Provincial averageParis | 44.5%+5.2 | 27.8%−2.5 | 15.0%+0.7 | 9.3%−2.9 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+20.7 | 17.0%+8.3 | 36.0%−20.3 | 12.2%−5.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Eva SAS · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 24.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eva SAS Elected | Left (NFP) | 30,923 | 50.7 |
| David OUZILOU | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,305 | 28.4 |
| Vanessa VICENTE | RN and allies | 7,084 | 11.6 |
| Florent BRUNETTI | LR and allies | 3,210 | 5.3 |
| Pierre-Louis GISCARD D'ESTAING | Centre (Ensemble) | 960 | 1.6 |
| Jannick TRUNKENWALD | RN and allies | 688 | 1.1 |
| Anne BERNON | Far left | 317 | 0.5 |
| Christine VIAL KAYSER | Centre (Ensemble) | 280 | 0.5 |
| Camille ADOUE | Far left | 176 | 0.3 |
| Manuel LUTZ | Others | 19 | 0.0 |
| Gwenolé SELLES | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
| N'Cho Xavier LAWSON-AGBAN | Left (NFP) | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Paris — 15ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 8ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Paris — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated