Val-de-Marne — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Val-de-Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 76% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.7 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 41%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-de-Marne — 4ème circonscription | 32.7% | 31.0% | 27.1% | 4.9% |
| Provincial averageVal-de-Marne | 44.0%−11.3 | 22.9%+8.1 | 16.3%+10.8 | 12.6%−7.7 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+3.7 | 36.0%−5.0 | 17.0%+10.1 | 12.2%−7.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Maud PETIT · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 1.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adel AMARA | Left (NFP) | 16,505 | 33.0 |
| Maud PETIT Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,287 | 30.6 |
| Alain PHILIPPET | RN and allies | 13,474 | 27.0 |
| Bernard CHAUSSEGROS | LR and allies | 1,292 | 2.6 |
| Marie-Odile PERRU | Centre (Ensemble) | 820 | 1.6 |
| Soraya BENSLIMANE | Sovereignists | 624 | 1.3 |
| Michaël BOHBOT | RN and allies | 594 | 1.2 |
| Brigitte MOULIN | Far left | 557 | 1.1 |
| Maxence SOBRAL | LR and allies | 543 | 1.1 |
| Jean DAMBREVILLE | Left (NFP) | 293 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Val-de-Marne — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Val-de-Marne — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-et-Marne — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated