Seine-et-Marne — 10ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-et-Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-et-Marne — 10ème circonscription | 43.0% | 26.7% | 17.6% | 9.5% |
| Provincial averageSeine-et-Marne | 31.1%+11.9 | 35.7%−9.0 | 14.6%+3.0 | 14.2%−4.7 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+13.9 | 36.0%−9.3 | 12.2%+5.3 | 17.0%−7.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Maxime LAISNEY · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 16.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime LAISNEY Elected | Left (NFP) | 22,558 | 43.9 |
| Pryscillia BRACH | RN and allies | 11,625 | 22.6 |
| Stéphanie DO | Centre (Ensemble) | 7,445 | 14.5 |
| Michel COLAS | LR and allies | 5,722 | 11.2 |
| Joël SANGARÉ | LR and allies | 2,707 | 5.3 |
| Sylvain CAYARD | Far left | 688 | 1.3 |
| Philippe DERVAUX | RN and allies | 596 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 12ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Seine-et-Marne — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated