Essonne — 9ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Essonne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 96% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 9%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essonne — 9ème circonscription | 36.7% | 33.0% | 22.0% | 5.5% |
| Provincial averageEssonne | 37.4%−0.7 | 28.2%+4.7 | 15.9%+6.1 | 5.8%−0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+7.6 | 36.0%−3.0 | 17.0%+5.0 | 3.9%+1.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Julie OZENNE · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 3.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julie OZENNE Elected | Left (NFP) | 19,288 | 37.6 |
| Paul-Henri MERRIEN | RN and allies | 15,449 | 30.1 |
| Marie GUÉVENOUX | Centre (Ensemble) | 13,908 | 27.1 |
| Bruno CHAMBERLIN | Others | 1,652 | 3.2 |
| Benoit GRISAUD | Far left | 831 | 1.6 |
| Sinan BORAN | Others | 168 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Essonne — 8ème circonscription Sovereignists, toss-up
- Essonne — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-et-Marne — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Essonne — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Essonne — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated