Seine-et-Marne — 11ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-et-Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 91% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 17%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | LR and allies | RN and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-et-Marne — 11ème circonscription | 49.9% | 42.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Provincial averageSeine-et-Marne | 31.1%+18.9 | 14.6%+28.0 | 35.7%−32.9 | 2.5%−0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+20.9 | 12.2%+30.4 | 36.0%−33.1 | 3.9%−1.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Olivier FAURE · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 7.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier FAURE Elected | Left (NFP) | 21,643 | 53.4 |
| Vincent PAUL-PETIT | LR and allies | 11,902 | 29.4 |
| Thomas IANZ | LR and allies | 5,797 | 14.3 |
| Anne DE LA TORRE | Far left | 868 | 2.1 |
| Flore CREANTOR | Others | 171 | 0.4 |
| Dominique MAHÉ | Sovereignists | 132 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-et-Marne — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Essonne — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Essonne — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Essonne — 8ème circonscription Sovereignists, toss-up
- Seine-et-Marne — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated