Val-de-Marne — 7ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Val-de-Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 75% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.7 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 49%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | LR and allies | RN and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-de-Marne — 7ème circonscription | 40.7% | 34.0% | 22.1% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageVal-de-Marne | 44.0%−3.3 | 12.6%+21.4 | 22.9%−0.8 | 2.0%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+11.6 | 12.2%+21.8 | 36.0%−13.9 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Vincent JEANBRUN · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 6.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel KEKE | Left (NFP) | 18,736 | 43.7 |
| Vincent JEANBRUN Elected | LR and allies | 14,869 | 34.6 |
| Claude LEDION | RN and allies | 8,111 | 18.9 |
| Claire MAURY | Far left | 623 | 1.5 |
| Florence DE LA RUELLE | RN and allies | 493 | 1.2 |
| Rachel CASTIN | RN and allies | 95 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Val-de-Marne — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Essonne — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 13ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Forecast updated