Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Essonne — 6ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Essonne

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 31.6 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 56.2%
  • RN and allies 24.6%
  • LR and allies 15.0%
  • Greens 1.9%
  • Others 1.9%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Left (NFP) RN and allies LR and allies Greens
Essonne — 6ème circonscription 56.2%24.6%15.0%1.9%
Provincial averageEssonne 37.4%+18.8 28.2%−3.7 7.3%+7.7 1.4%+0.6
National averageFrance 29.0%+27.1 36.0%−11.4 12.2%+2.8 0.4%+1.5

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Jérôme GUEDJ · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 31.6 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Jérôme GUEDJ Elected Left (NFP) 19,280 34.4
Hella KRIBI - ROMDHANE Left (NFP) 14,124 25.2
Natacha GOUPY RN and allies 11,650 20.8
Chantal LACARRIERE FARGES LR and allies 8,119 14.5
Aloïs LANG-ROUSSEAU Greens 1,455 2.6
Francine MONNIER RN and allies 1,075 1.9
Bastien VAYSSIÈRE Far left 280 0.5

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated