Hauts-de-Seine — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hauts-de-Seine
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 24.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hauts-de-Seine — 4ème circonscription | 49.4% | 24.7% | 19.7% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine | 35.9%+13.5 | 24.7%−0.1 | 19.2%+0.5 | 2.1%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+20.4 | 17.0%+7.7 | 36.0%−16.3 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Sabrina SEBAIHI · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 24.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina SEBAIHI Elected | Left (NFP) | 26,373 | 49.1 |
| Isabelle DE CRECY | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,899 | 29.6 |
| Melina BRAVO | RN and allies | 8,185 | 15.3 |
| Aurélie VONSY | Greens | 1,086 | 2.0 |
| Régis VALETTE | RN and allies | 758 | 1.4 |
| Laurent STRUMANNE | Far left | 425 | 0.8 |
| Mathilde EISENBERG | Far left | 391 | 0.7 |
| Valéry BARNY | Left (NFP) | 297 | 0.6 |
| Sean Phillip MC COY | Left (NFP) | 263 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hauts-de-Seine — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 7ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Yvelines — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Paris — 14ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated