Yvelines — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Yvelines
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 91% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 16%.
Compared with the average
| Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvelines — 2ème circonscription | 29.9% | 26.1% | 25.4% | 15.7% |
| Provincial averageYvelines | 26.0%+3.9 | 26.9%−0.8 | 29.5%−4.1 | 13.4%+2.3 |
| National averageFrance | 17.0%+12.9 | 36.0%−9.9 | 29.0%−3.6 | 12.2%+3.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jean-Noël BARROT · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 3.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Noël BARROT Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 22,500 | 35.0 |
| Maïté CARRIVE-BÉDOUANI | Left (NFP) | 16,893 | 26.3 |
| Gaetan BRAULT | RN and allies | 14,013 | 21.8 |
| Pascal THEVENOT | LR and allies | 9,327 | 14.5 |
| Philippe LOIRE | RN and allies | 893 | 1.4 |
| Marielle SAULNIER | Far left | 486 | 0.8 |
| Bertrand HUGON | Others | 153 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Yvelines — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Yvelines — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Yvelines — 3ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Essonne — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 8ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Essonne — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Forecast updated