Yvelines — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Yvelines
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 93% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 13%.
Compared with the average
| Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvelines — 3ème circonscription | 29.5% | 27.5% | 20.1% | 18.2% |
| Provincial averageYvelines | 26.0%+3.6 | 26.9%+0.6 | 29.5%−9.4 | 13.4%+4.8 |
| National averageFrance | 17.0%+12.5 | 36.0%−8.5 | 29.0%−8.9 | 12.2%+6.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Béatrice PIRON · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 2.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Béatrice PIRON Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 20,768 | 34.5 |
| Valentin SALVINO | RN and allies | 13,725 | 22.8 |
| Thomas CIANO | Left (NFP) | 12,557 | 20.9 |
| Othman NASROU | LR and allies | 10,211 | 17.0 |
| Jérémy BIZET | Greens | 1,679 | 2.8 |
| Olivier LE COQ | RN and allies | 998 | 1.7 |
| Olivier AUGUSTIN | Far left | 283 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Yvelines — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Yvelines — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Yvelines — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Yvelines — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 7ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 8ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated