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Yvelines — 6ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Yvelines

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 95% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.1 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 7%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Centre (Ensemble) 33.4%
  • Left (NFP) 26.3%
  • RN and allies 24.9%
  • LR and allies 9.0%
  • Greens 2.6%
  • Others 2.1%
  • Sovereignists 1.1%
  • Far left 0.6%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) RN and allies LR and allies
Yvelines — 6ème circonscription 33.4%26.3%24.9%9.0%
Provincial averageYvelines 26.0%+7.4 29.5%−3.2 26.9%−1.9 13.4%−4.4
National averageFrance 17.0%+16.4 29.0%−2.7 36.0%−11.0 12.2%−3.2

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Natalia POUZYREFF · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 7.1 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Natalia POUZYREFF Elected Centre (Ensemble) 20,212 38.3
Mélinda SAUGER Left (NFP) 14,247 27.0
Sophie LELANDAIS RN and allies 10,781 20.4
Stéphane TORREZ LR and allies 4,028 7.6
Jean-Luc SUZÉ Greens 1,668 3.2
Anne-Elisabeth SILD RN and allies 760 1.4
Claire COUEIGNAS Sovereignists 533 1.0
Cécile PERRAUDIN Far left 222 0.4
Ken ARMÈDE Far left 120 0.2
Patrice HERNOT LR and allies 84 0.2
Marc PHILIPOT Others 71 0.1
Leo MÜLLBACHER Others 0 0.0

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated