Yvelines — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Yvelines
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 13.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | RN and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvelines — 5ème circonscription | 40.2% | 26.6% | 24.0% | 6.4% |
| Provincial averageYvelines | 26.0%+14.2 | 29.5%−2.9 | 13.4%+10.6 | 26.9%−20.4 |
| National averageFrance | 17.0%+23.2 | 29.0%−2.4 | 12.2%+11.8 | 36.0%−29.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Yaël BRAUN-PIVET · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 13.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yaël BRAUN-PIVET Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 22,874 | 42.8 |
| Yassine BENYETTOU | Left (NFP) | 14,600 | 27.3 |
| Jacques MYARD | LR and allies | 12,241 | 22.9 |
| Emilienne GUILLE | RN and allies | 1,826 | 3.4 |
| Nathalie LEPAGE | Centre (Ensemble) | 942 | 1.8 |
| Alain LÉPICIER | Far left | 454 | 0.9 |
| Ingrid LAROSE | Centre (Ensemble) | 430 | 0.8 |
| Serilo LOOKY | Left (NFP) | 84 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Yvelines — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Hauts-de-Seine — 7ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated