Val-d'Oise — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Val-d'Oise
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 79% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.0 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 41%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-d'Oise — 3ème circonscription | 34.9% | 32.0% | 18.6% | 8.8% |
| Provincial averageVal-d'Oise | 39.7%−4.8 | 29.6%+2.4 | 15.5%+3.0 | 10.4%−1.6 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+5.9 | 36.0%−4.0 | 17.0%+1.6 | 12.2%−3.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Emmanuel MAUREL · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 3.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel MAUREL Elected | Left (NFP) | 22,742 | 35.6 |
| Kimberley LELAIDIER | RN and allies | 17,608 | 27.6 |
| Cécile RILHAC | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,013 | 23.5 |
| Laetitia VINCENT | LR and allies | 4,816 | 7.5 |
| Samira HERBAL | Greens | 1,290 | 2.0 |
| Laetitia GUÉBIN | Others | 1,046 | 1.6 |
| Alexandre SIMONNOT | RN and allies | 837 | 1.3 |
| Juan MUNOZ | Far left | 468 | 0.7 |
| Daniel BLASER | Far left | 7 | 0.0 |
| Samira BELMOKHTAR | Left (NFP) | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Val-d'Oise — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Val-d'Oise — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Yvelines — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Forecast updated