Val-d'Oise — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Val-d'Oise
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 65% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.5 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 69%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-d'Oise — 2ème circonscription | 34.1% | 32.6% | 20.3% | 7.5% |
| Provincial averageVal-d'Oise | 29.6%+4.5 | 39.7%−7.2 | 15.5%+4.7 | 10.4%−2.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−1.9 | 29.0%+3.5 | 17.0%+3.3 | 12.2%−4.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Ayda HADIZADEH · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 1.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayda HADIZADEH Elected | Left (NFP) | 17,221 | 33.5 |
| Nadejda REMY | RN and allies | 15,544 | 30.2 |
| Guillaume VUILLETET | Centre (Ensemble) | 13,044 | 25.4 |
| Frédéric PAIN | LR and allies | 3,214 | 6.3 |
| Brahim OUBAIROUK | Others | 818 | 1.6 |
| Alvin IVANAJ | Others | 621 | 1.2 |
| Philippe CHANZY | RN and allies | 529 | 1.0 |
| Éric CASSAN | Far left | 456 | 0.9 |
| Danièle LESSAINT | Sovereignists | 6 | 0.0 |
| Stephane GAULTIER | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Val-d'Oise — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Val-d'Oise — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Val-d'Oise — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Oise — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated