Val-d'Oise — 6ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Val-d'Oise
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-d'Oise — 6ème circonscription | 36.7% | 26.4% | 23.4% | 8.8% |
| Provincial averageVal-d'Oise | 39.7%−3.1 | 29.6%−3.2 | 15.5%+7.9 | 10.4%−1.6 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+7.7 | 36.0%−9.6 | 17.0%+6.4 | 12.2%−3.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Gabrielle CATHALA · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 10.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabrielle CATHALA Elected | Left (NFP) | 18,603 | 37.6 |
| Estelle FOLEST | Centre (Ensemble) | 12,745 | 25.8 |
| Annika BRUNA | RN and allies | 10,911 | 22.1 |
| Audrey GUILBAUD | LR and allies | 3,737 | 7.6 |
| Loïc ELÉLOUÉ-VALMAR | Others | 1,049 | 2.1 |
| Emmanuel MIKAEL | Centre (Ensemble) | 910 | 1.8 |
| Jean Bernard LASMARRIGUES | RN and allies | 683 | 1.4 |
| Christophe CELESTIN | Centre (Ensemble) | 427 | 0.9 |
| Agnès REINMANN | Far left | 370 | 0.7 |
| Marine DAGEVILLE | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Val-d'Oise — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Hauts-de-Seine — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated