Val-d'Oise — 10ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Val-d'Oise
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-d'Oise — 10ème circonscription | 42.2% | 25.7% | 14.1% | 13.8% |
| Provincial averageVal-d'Oise | 39.7%+2.4 | 29.6%−3.9 | 15.5%−1.4 | 10.4%+3.4 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+13.1 | 36.0%−10.3 | 17.0%−2.9 | 12.2%+1.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Aurélien TACHÉ · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 16.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aurélien TACHÉ Elected | Left (NFP) | 18,306 | 43.1 |
| Lisbeth MACÉ | RN and allies | 9,667 | 22.8 |
| Sonia KRIMI | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,129 | 19.2 |
| Edwina ÉTORÉ-MANIKA | LR and allies | 4,249 | 10.0 |
| Albert SAINT-JEAN | LR and allies | 1,107 | 2.6 |
| Christophe FLAUX | Far left | 489 | 1.2 |
| Souade DE LA FAYE | Sovereignists | 488 | 1.1 |
| Jean CAILLOT | Far left | 7 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Yvelines — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Yvelines — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Yvelines — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Yvelines — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated