Yvelines — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Yvelines
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvelines — 8ème circonscription | 43.9% | 33.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% |
| Provincial averageYvelines | 29.5%+14.4 | 26.9%+7.0 | 26.0%−16.8 | 13.4%−6.5 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+14.9 | 36.0%−2.1 | 17.0%−7.8 | 12.2%−5.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Benjamin LUCAS · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 10.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin LUCAS Elected | Left (NFP) | 20,416 | 44.9 |
| Cyril NAUTH | RN and allies | 14,076 | 31.0 |
| Alexis COSTA | Centre (Ensemble) | 6,436 | 14.2 |
| Stephan CHAMPAGNE | LR and allies | 2,592 | 5.7 |
| Sabah EL ASRI | Others | 1,208 | 2.7 |
| Thierry GONNOT | Far left | 526 | 1.2 |
| Nicolas MANGANI | Others | 187 | 0.4 |
| Hugues BOVAERE | RN and allies | 8 | 0.0 |
| Léon CHEVALIER | Others | 3 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Yvelines — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Yvelines — 12ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Yvelines — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Yvelines — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated