Seine-Maritime — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-Maritime
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 91% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 18%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-Maritime — 2ème circonscription | 37.6% | 23.6% | 22.7% | 12.0% |
| Provincial averageSeine-Maritime | 39.3%−1.7 | 31.7%−8.1 | 18.5%+4.1 | 6.6%+5.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+1.6 | 29.0%−5.4 | 17.0%+5.6 | 12.2%−0.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Annie VIDAL · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 14.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa LANCELOT | RN and allies | 23,135 | 33.8 |
| Annie VIDAL Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 18,996 | 27.7 |
| Vincent DECORDE | Left (NFP) | 16,753 | 24.5 |
| Jonas HADDAD | LR and allies | 7,429 | 10.8 |
| Jean-Claude GARAULT | Far left | 877 | 1.3 |
| Marie-Françoise ACCARD | Sovereignists | 666 | 1.0 |
| Frédéric MAZIER | RN and allies | 643 | 0.9 |
| Soren PETIOT | Left (NFP) | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Eure — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Eure — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated