Seine-Maritime — 6ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-Maritime
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-Maritime — 6ème circonscription | 46.8% | 32.0% | 18.2% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageSeine-Maritime | 39.3%+7.5 | 31.7%+0.3 | 6.6%+11.6 | 2.0%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+10.8 | 29.0%+3.0 | 12.2%+6.0 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Patrice MARTIN · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 14.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patrice MARTIN Elected | RN and allies | 32,235 | 44.9 |
| Sébastien JUMEL | Left (NFP) | 24,763 | 34.5 |
| Stéphane ACCARD | LR and allies | 12,916 | 18.0 |
| Olivier CLELAND | RN and allies | 1,009 | 1.4 |
| Éric MOISAN | Far left | 861 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Maritime — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 10ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Somme — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Eure — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated