Somme — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Somme
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 23.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Somme — 3ème circonscription | 52.3% | 28.8% | 14.2% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageSomme | 47.9%+4.5 | 12.4%+16.4 | 20.9%−6.7 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+16.3 | 12.2%+16.6 | 29.0%−14.8 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Matthias RENAULT · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 23.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthias RENAULT Elected | RN and allies | 27,277 | 48.9 |
| Emmanuel MAQUET | LR and allies | 15,449 | 27.7 |
| Léon DEFFONTAINES | Left (NFP) | 8,385 | 15.0 |
| Bruno MARIAGE | Centre (Ensemble) | 3,490 | 6.3 |
| Michel VALET | Far left | 589 | 1.1 |
| Sylvie BRUHAT | RN and allies | 370 | 0.7 |
| Noë BOXOËN | Sovereignists | 217 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Somme — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Somme — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Somme — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Pas-de-Calais — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated