Pas-de-Calais — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Pas-de-Calais
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 17.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pas-de-Calais — 5ème circonscription | 45.9% | 28.1% | 15.8% | 5.9% |
| Provincial averagePas-de-Calais | 53.2%−7.2 | 20.8%+7.2 | 12.8%+3.1 | 9.6%−3.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+10.0 | 29.0%−1.0 | 17.0%−1.2 | 12.2%−6.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Antoine GOLLIOT · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 17.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine GOLLIOT Elected | RN and allies | 23,974 | 43.2 |
| Olivier BARBARIN | Left (NFP) | 16,095 | 29.0 |
| Jean-Pierre PONT | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,601 | 20.9 |
| Jean-Luc VIUDES | LR and allies | 2,596 | 4.7 |
| Pierre LANGLET | Far left | 1,298 | 2.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Pas-de-Calais — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Somme — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 14ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated