Pas-de-Calais — 6ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Pas-de-Calais
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 32.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pas-de-Calais — 6ème circonscription | 53.4% | 21.5% | 13.3% | 8.2% |
| Provincial averagePas-de-Calais | 53.2%+0.3 | 12.8%+8.7 | 20.8%−7.5 | 9.6%−1.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+17.5 | 17.0%+4.5 | 29.0%−15.7 | 12.2%−4.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Christine ENGRAND · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 32.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christine ENGRAND Elected | RN and allies | 32,553 | 50.7 |
| Brigitte BOURGUIGNON | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,052 | 26.6 |
| Aurore PAGEAUD | Left (NFP) | 9,065 | 14.1 |
| Eric HOUDAYER | LR and allies | 4,495 | 7.0 |
| Laure BOUREL | Far left | 703 | 1.1 |
| Giovanni Anthony FRATTINI | Others | 335 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Pas-de-Calais — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 14ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 13ème circonscription Others, toss-up
- Forecast updated