Nord — 14ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Nord
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 98% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 5%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nord — 14ème circonscription | 46.8% | 36.0% | 12.2% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageNord | 42.0%+4.8 | 12.7%+23.3 | 28.2%−15.9 | 3.6%−1.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+10.9 | 12.2%+23.8 | 29.0%−16.8 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Paul CHRISTOPHE · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 10.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Baptiste GARDES | RN and allies | 30,194 | 46.4 |
| Paul CHRISTOPHE Elected | LR and allies | 23,928 | 36.7 |
| Philippine HEYMAN | Left (NFP) | 8,876 | 13.6 |
| Sandrine DESRAYAUD | Far left | 1,091 | 1.7 |
| Anne-Lise PERCHE | Sovereignists | 1,033 | 1.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Nord — 13ème circonscription Others, toss-up
- Pas-de-Calais — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 15ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated