Pas-de-Calais — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Pas-de-Calais
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pas-de-Calais — 8ème circonscription | 50.3% | 31.1% | 11.8% | 3.7% |
| Provincial averagePas-de-Calais | 53.2%−2.9 | 20.8%+10.2 | 12.8%−1.0 | 2.2%+1.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+14.3 | 29.0%+2.0 | 17.0%−5.2 | 3.9%−0.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Auguste EVRARD · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 19.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auguste EVRARD Elected | RN and allies | 27,164 | 46.5 |
| Bertrand PETIT | Left (NFP) | 18,697 | 32.0 |
| Benoît POTTERIE | Centre (Ensemble) | 9,824 | 16.8 |
| Hervé RUFFIN | Far left | 1,199 | 2.1 |
| Alain ATASSI | Others | 984 | 1.7 |
| Jérémie WEBER | RN and allies | 617 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Pas-de-Calais — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 14ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 15ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 10ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Nord — 13ème circonscription Others, toss-up
- Forecast updated