Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Somme — 2ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Somme

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 56% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.9 points.

Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 73%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 31.1%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 29.3%
  • Left (NFP) 28.6%
  • LR and allies 7.9%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.9%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
Somme — 2ème circonscription 31.1%29.3%28.6%7.9%
Provincial averageSomme 47.9%−16.7 15.5%+13.8 20.9%+7.8 12.4%−4.5
National averageFrance 36.0%−4.9 17.0%+12.3 29.0%−0.4 12.2%−4.3

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Zahia HAMDANE · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 1.9 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Zahia HAMDANE Elected Left (NFP) 15,217 29.5
Damien TOUMI RN and allies 14,142 27.5
Hubert DE JENLIS Centre (Ensemble) 12,997 25.2
Anne PINON LR and allies 3,450 6.7
Renaud DESCHAMPS Centre (Ensemble) 2,029 3.9
Ingrid DORDAIN Centre (Ensemble) 1,589 3.1
Paul-Eric DECLE Centre (Ensemble) 1,096 2.1
Rémy CHASSOULIER Far left 531 1.0
Suzanne PLAQUET RN and allies 410 0.8
Grégoire LECOCQ Sovereignists 44 0.1

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated