Oise — 7ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Oise
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 17.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oise — 7ème circonscription | 44.1% | 26.3% | 22.6% | 3.2% |
| Provincial averageOise | 47.9%−3.9 | 21.0%+5.3 | 18.6%+4.1 | 8.5%−5.3 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+8.1 | 29.0%−2.7 | 12.2%+10.4 | 17.0%−13.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
David MAGNIER · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 17.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| David MAGNIER Elected | RN and allies | 19,769 | 40.4 |
| Loïc PEN | Left (NFP) | 13,289 | 27.2 |
| Maxime MINOT | LR and allies | 10,519 | 21.5 |
| Ophélie VAN ELSUWE | Centre (Ensemble) | 4,006 | 8.2 |
| Agnès DINGIVAL | Far left | 615 | 1.3 |
| Florence ITALIANI | RN and allies | 415 | 0.9 |
| Thomas MONGIRAUD | Sovereignists | 278 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Oise — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Oise — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Val-d'Oise — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Oise — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated