Somme — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Somme
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 45.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Somme — 5ème circonscription | 60.0% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% |
| Provincial averageSomme | 47.9%+12.1 | 15.5%−1.1 | 20.9%−8.5 | 12.4%−3.0 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+24.0 | 17.0%−2.5 | 29.0%−16.7 | 12.2%−2.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Yaël MENACHE · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 45.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yaël MENACHE Elected | RN and allies | 29,281 | 56.0 |
| Loïc FOLLEAT | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,196 | 19.5 |
| Alice BERGER | Left (NFP) | 6,877 | 13.2 |
| Séverine MORDACQ | LR and allies | 4,280 | 8.2 |
| Hélène LAUNAY | Far left | 1,000 | 1.9 |
| Béatrice GUILBERT | RN and allies | 672 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Oise — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pas-de-Calais — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Somme — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Aisne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Somme — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated