Oise — 6ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Oise
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oise — 6ème circonscription | 49.9% | 28.3% | 18.7% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageOise | 47.9%+2.0 | 18.6%+9.7 | 21.0%−2.3 | 2.1%−0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+13.9 | 12.2%+16.1 | 29.0%−10.3 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Michel GUINIOT · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 21.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michel GUINIOT Elected | RN and allies | 23,402 | 47.9 |
| Daniel LECA | LR and allies | 11,207 | 22.9 |
| Baptiste DE FRESSE DE MONVAL | Left (NFP) | 9,999 | 20.5 |
| Nathalie CHARRUAU | LR and allies | 2,766 | 5.7 |
| Guy-Eric IMBERT | RN and allies | 857 | 1.8 |
| Jean-Marc ISKIN | Far left | 648 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Oise — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Somme — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aisne — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Oise — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Oise — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aisne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated