Aisne — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Aisne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 39.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aisne — 4ème circonscription | 58.9% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageAisne | 55.9%+3.0 | 20.8%−1.8 | 10.1%+7.0 | 2.1%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+22.9 | 29.0%−10.0 | 17.0%+0.1 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
José BEAURAIN · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 39.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| José BEAURAIN Elected | RN and allies | 25,913 | 55.0 |
| Benjamin MAURICE | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,448 | 22.2 |
| Lola PRIÉ | Left (NFP) | 9,335 | 19.8 |
| Flora BOUILLAGUET | Far left | 832 | 1.8 |
| Philippe GOUJARD | RN and allies | 553 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Aisne — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Oise — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aisne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Oise — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aisne — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-et-Marne — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated