Aisne — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Aisne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 36.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aisne — 5ème circonscription | 55.8% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 6.3% |
| Provincial averageAisne | 55.9%−0.1 | 20.8%−1.9 | 10.1%+5.6 | 9.0%−2.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+19.8 | 29.0%−10.2 | 17.0%−1.3 | 12.2%−5.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jocelyn DESSIGNY · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 36.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jocelyn DESSIGNY Elected | RN and allies | 27,670 | 53.1 |
| Jeanne ROUSSEL | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,811 | 20.7 |
| Karim BELAÏD | Left (NFP) | 10,272 | 19.7 |
| Jade GILQUIN | LR and allies | 2,665 | 5.1 |
| Yona MERBOUCHE | Far left | 721 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Aisne — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-et-Marne — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-et-Marne — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Marne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Oise — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Marne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated