Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Marne — 2ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Marne

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 94% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.9 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 13%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 40.3%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 25.4%
  • Left (NFP) 21.0%
  • LR and allies 8.3%
  • Greens 2.1%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.8%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
Marne — 2ème circonscription 40.3%25.4%21.0%8.3%
Provincial averageMarne 37.3%+3.0 28.9%−3.4 18.2%+2.8 11.4%−3.1
National averageFrance 36.0%+4.3 17.0%+8.4 29.0%−8.0 12.2%−3.9

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Laure MILLER · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 14.9 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Anne-Sophie FRIGOUT RN and allies 17,645 36.3
Laure MILLER Elected Centre (Ensemble) 14,756 30.4
Stéphane PIROUELLE Left (NFP) 10,560 21.7
Stéphane LANG LR and allies 3,425 7.1
Ghislain WYSOCINSKI Greens 1,301 2.7
Marie PACE RN and allies 446 0.9
Thomas ROSE Far left 420 0.9

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated