Marne — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | RN and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marne — 1ère circonscription | 38.3% | 28.7% | 26.2% | 3.0% |
| Provincial averageMarne | 11.4%+26.9 | 28.9%−0.1 | 18.2%+8.0 | 37.3%−34.3 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2%+26.1 | 17.0%+11.7 | 29.0%−2.9 | 36.0%−32.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Xavier ALBERTINI · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 9.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien MEXIS | LR and allies | 17,697 | 37.3 |
| Xavier ALBERTINI Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 16,058 | 33.8 |
| Evelyne BOURGOIN | Left (NFP) | 12,835 | 27.0 |
| Vincent VARLET | Far left | 856 | 1.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Marne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aisne — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Marne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Marne — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Ardennes — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Marne — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated