Marne — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 97% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 5%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marne — 5ème circonscription | 49.8% | 37.5% | 8.6% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageMarne | 37.3%+12.4 | 28.9%+8.6 | 18.2%−9.6 | 2.0%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+13.8 | 17.0%+20.5 | 29.0%−20.4 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Charles DE COURSON · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 12.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thierry BESSON | RN and allies | 23,954 | 47.0 |
| Charles DE COURSON Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 21,751 | 42.7 |
| Gaël PADIOU | Left (NFP) | 4,774 | 9.4 |
| Joëlle BASTIEN | Far left | 502 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Marne — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aube — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Marne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Marne — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Marne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aube — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated