Aube — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Aube
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 22.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aube — 3ème circonscription | 46.4% | 23.7% | 13.6% | 11.8% |
| Provincial averageAube | 50.2%−3.8 | 17.6%+6.0 | 18.5%−4.9 | 10.0%+1.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+10.4 | 29.0%−5.4 | 12.2%+1.4 | 17.0%−5.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Angélique RANC · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 22.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angélique RANC Elected | RN and allies | 18,084 | 43.3 |
| Olivier GIRARDIN | Left (NFP) | 10,178 | 24.4 |
| Luc SCHERRER | Centre (Ensemble) | 6,994 | 16.8 |
| Didier LEPRINCE | LR and allies | 3,654 | 8.8 |
| Olivier RICHARD | LR and allies | 1,502 | 3.6 |
| Nelly COLLOT-TOUZÉ | Greens | 970 | 2.3 |
| Pascal ANDRIEUX | Far left | 349 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Yonne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aube — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Marne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-et-Marne — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Marne — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aube — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated