Seine-et-Marne — 6ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-et-Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 95% chance of winning, with an average lead of 13.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 10%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Far left | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-et-Marne — 6ème circonscription | 41.6% | 27.9% | 26.5% | 2.1% |
| Provincial averageSeine-et-Marne | 35.7%+5.8 | 31.1%−3.1 | 14.6%+11.9 | 1.5%+0.6 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+5.6 | 29.0%−1.1 | 12.2%+14.3 | 1.1%+1.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Béatrice ROULLAUD · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 13.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Béatrice ROULLAUD Elected | RN and allies | 20,994 | 40.8 |
| Amal BENTOUNSI | Left (NFP) | 15,548 | 30.2 |
| Régis SARAZIN | LR and allies | 13,739 | 26.7 |
| Annie RIEUPET | Far left | 1,167 | 2.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-et-Marne — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Oise — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-et-Marne — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Seine-et-Marne — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Oise — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-et-Marne — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated