Oise — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Oise
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 24.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oise — 5ème circonscription | 45.7% | 21.2% | 18.8% | 10.2% |
| Provincial averageOise | 47.9%−2.2 | 21.0%+0.2 | 18.6%+0.3 | 8.5%+1.6 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+9.8 | 29.0%−7.8 | 12.2%+6.6 | 17.0%−6.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Frédéric Pierre VOS · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 24.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frédéric Pierre VOS Elected | RN and allies | 20,070 | 42.2 |
| Bertrand BRASSENS | Left (NFP) | 10,491 | 22.0 |
| Pierre VATIN | LR and allies | 8,427 | 17.7 |
| Etienne DIOT | Centre (Ensemble) | 7,232 | 15.2 |
| Véronique ROGEZ | Sovereignists | 509 | 1.1 |
| Hélène BECHERINI | Far left | 503 | 1.1 |
| Jean-Paul BOUCHER | RN and allies | 379 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Oise — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Oise — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-et-Marne — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aisne — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Oise — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-et-Marne — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Forecast updated