Seine-Maritime — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-Maritime
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-Maritime — 3ème circonscription | 47.6% | 32.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Provincial averageSeine-Maritime | 31.7%+15.9 | 39.3%−6.9 | 18.5%−9.7 | 6.6%+1.0 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+18.6 | 36.0%−3.6 | 17.0%−8.2 | 12.2%−4.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Edouard BÉNARD · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 15.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edouard BÉNARD Elected | Left (NFP) | 21,000 | 48.6 |
| Pauline DANIEL | RN and allies | 12,194 | 28.2 |
| Letycia OSSIBI | Centre (Ensemble) | 5,951 | 13.8 |
| Alexis COPPEIN | LR and allies | 2,757 | 6.4 |
| Pascal LE MANACH | Far left | 705 | 1.6 |
| Anthony VANHESE | RN and allies | 566 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Maritime — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Eure — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 10ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated