Fabre
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Marie Claude Fournier (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 42.7% of the vote, 22.9 points ahead of Catherine Dansereau-Redhead (PQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Claude Fournier | QLP | 15,043 | 42.7% |
| Catherine Dansereau-Redhead | PQ | 6,968 | 19.8% |
| Stéphane Turmel | PCQ | 6,080 | 17.3% |
| Josée Chevalier | QS | 3,439 | 9.8% |
| Lucie Létourneau | CAQ | 3,118 | 8.9% |
| Lynn Buchanan | Other | 313 | 0.9% |
| Qaiser Choudhry | Other | 237 | 0.7% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QLP | 46.9% | 42.7% | −4.1 |
| PQ | 17.6% | 19.8% | +2.2 |
| PCQ | 20.2% | 17.3% | −2.9 |
| QS | 6.8% | 9.8% | +3.0 |
| CAQ | 7.0% | 8.9% | +1.8 |
| Other | 1.5% | 1.6% | +0.0 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 30% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 18.6% Rank 109 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 30% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +3% 2022: 18.0% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here less than across Quebec (increase ranked 103 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a weaker-than-expected rise mostly signalled lower overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (62.5%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QLP | PCQ | PQ | CAQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabre | 46.9% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 7.0% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8%+22.1 | 20.2% | 28.7%−11.1 | 13.9%−6.9 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 0.9 points, with 62.6% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 25.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alice Abou-Khalil Elected | CAQ | 10,912 | 31.8 |
| Sonia Baudelot | QLP | 10,606 | 30.9 |
| Stéphane Turmel | PCQ | 5,205 | 15.2 |
| Jessy Léger | QS | 3,820 | 11.1 |
| Catherine Dansereau-Redhead | PQ | 3,346 | 9.8 |
| Lynn Buchanan | Other | 418 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Robert-Baldwin QLP, safe seat
- Chomedey QLP, safe seat
- Sainte-Rose QLP, safe seat
- Nelligan QLP, safe seat
- Groulx PQ, competitive
- Saint-Laurent QLP, safe seat
- Forecast updated