Nelligan
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Monsef Derraji (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 63.3% of the vote, 48.4 points ahead of Gary Charles (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monsef Derraji | QLP | 21,690 | 63.3% |
| Gary Charles | PCQ | 5,110 | 14.9% |
| Martine Dubois | PQ | 2,563 | 7.5% |
| Dominique Naud | QS | 2,301 | 6.7% |
| Tom Tang | CAQ | 1,663 | 4.8% |
| Michael Wilkinson | Other | 493 | 1.4% |
| Alex Di Pardo | Other | 470 | 1.4% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QLP | 58.9% | 63.3% | +4.4 |
| PCQ | 21.5% | 14.9% | −6.6 |
| PQ | 4.3% | 7.5% | +3.2 |
| QS | 1.0% | 6.7% | +5.7 |
| CAQ | 9.0% | 4.8% | −4.2 |
| Other | 5.4% | 2.8% | −2.6 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 33% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 19.1% Rank 105 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 33% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +15% 2022: 16.7% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (58.8%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QLP | PCQ | CAQ | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelligan | 58.9% | 21.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8%+34.1 | 20.2%+1.3 | 13.9%−4.9 | 1.5%+3.9 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The Quebec Liberals won by 35.4 points, with 58.8% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 37.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monsef Derraji Elected | QLP | 17,454 | 52.0 |
| Cynthia Lapierre | CAQ | 5,584 | 16.6 |
| Gary Charles | PCQ | 5,061 | 15.1 |
| Maxime Larue-Bourdages | QS | 1,766 | 5.3 |
| Jocelyn Caron | PQ | 1,399 | 4.2 |
| Jean Marier | Other | 1,014 | 3.0 |
| Neena Hanif | Other | 610 | 1.8 |
| Daniel Reiniger | Other | 558 | 1.7 |
| Michael Hennawy | Other | 100 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Jacques-Cartier QLP, safe seat
- Fabre QLP, safe seat
- Deux-Montagnes PQ, competitive
- Robert-Baldwin QLP, safe seat
- Mirabel PQ, competitive
- Vaudreuil QLP, safe seat
- Forecast updated