Jacques-Cartier
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Gregory Kelley (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 73.2% of the vote, 62.4 points ahead of Pina Di Dio (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Kelley | QLP | 22,456 | 73.2% |
| Pina Di Dio | PCQ | 3,309 | 10.8% |
| Gabriel Laurence-Brook | QS | 1,696 | 5.5% |
| Céline Dauphinais | PQ | 1,329 | 4.3% |
| Santiago Proteau Sanchez | CAQ | 881 | 2.9% |
| Bianca Jitaru | Other | 566 | 1.9% |
| Yesica Ochoa | Other | 438 | 1.4% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QLP | 66.6% | 73.2% | +6.6 |
| PCQ | 16.7% | 10.8% | −5.9 |
| QS | 0.4% | 5.5% | +5.1 |
| PQ | 1.8% | 4.3% | +2.5 |
| Other | 7.1% | 3.3% | −3.8 |
| CAQ | 7.4% | 2.9% | −4.5 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 36% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 22.5% Rank 73 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 36% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +22% 2022: 18.5% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 17 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (63.2%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QLP | PCQ | CAQ | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacques-Cartier | 66.6% | 16.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8%+41.8 | 20.2%−3.5 | 13.9%−6.5 | 1.5%+5.6 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The Quebec Liberals won by 51.3 points, with 63.2% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 49.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Kelley Elected | QLP | 18,158 | 62.6 |
| Louis-Charles Fortier | PCQ | 3,260 | 11.2 |
| Rébecca Guénard-Chouinard | CAQ | 2,735 | 9.4 |
| Arthur Fischer | Other | 1,462 | 5.0 |
| Marie-Ève Mathieu | QS | 1,456 | 5.0 |
| Virginie Beaudet | Other | 1,074 | 3.7 |
| Chantal Beauregard | PQ | 877 | 3.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Nelligan QLP, safe seat
- Robert-Baldwin QLP, safe seat
- Fabre QLP, safe seat
- Vaudreuil QLP, safe seat
- Marquette QLP, safe seat
- Deux-Montagnes PQ, competitive
- Forecast updated