Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Saint-Laurent

Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal

October 5, 2026 result

Valérie Assouline (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 54.5% of the vote, 37.9 points ahead of Étienne Loiselle-Schiettekatte (QS).

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Valérie Assouline QLP 16,681 54.5%
Étienne Loiselle-Schiettekatte QS 5,067 16.5%
Barry Rolbin PCQ 3,781 12.3%
Pierre-Étienne Nantel PQ 2,570 8.4%
Tahmina Kabir CAQ 1,425 4.7%
Audrey Baillairgé Other 544 1.8%
Pierre-Christophe Dagher Falardeau Other 376 1.2%
Fernand Deschamps Other 114 0.4%
Joe Young Other 77 0.3%

Preliminary results, 169 of 169 polls, retrieved October 6, 2026 · Turnout: 52.0% · Official source

Our forecast before the vote

We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.

PartyForecastResultGap
QLP 55.9% 54.5% −1.5
QS 5.0% 16.5% +11.5
PCQ 18.4% 12.3% −6.0
PQ 8.8% 8.4% −0.4
CAQ 7.2% 4.7% −2.6
Other 4.7% 3.6% −1.0

Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.

Advance voting · September 27 and 28

About 27% of votes were cast in advance

Registered electors who voted
13.9%
Rank 123 of 127
Quebec average
23.6%
Estimated share of votes already cast
≈ 27%
Quebec: about 36%
Compared with 2022
+23%
2022: 11.3% · Quebec: +12%

Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 15 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.

Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (51.0%). See all 127 ridings

Compared with the average

QLP PCQ PQ CAQ
Saint-Laurent 55.9%18.4%8.8%7.2%
Provincial averageQuebec 24.8%+31.1 20.2%−1.8 28.7%−19.9 13.9%−6.7

Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election (2022)

The Quebec Liberals won by 35.7 points, with 51.0% turnout.

Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 37.4 points.

Candidates and votes in 2022

Candidate Party Votes %
Marwah Rizqy Elected QLP 14,304 50.0
Mélanie Gauthier CAQ 4,091 14.3
Catherine St-Clair PCQ 3,973 13.9
Gérard Briand QS 2,840 9.9
Karl Dugal PQ 1,696 5.9
Rizwan Muhammad Rajput Other 752 2.6
Myrtis-Eirene Fossey Other 533 1.9
Othmane Benzekri Other 439 1.5

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated