Laval-des-Rapides
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Caroline De Guire (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 36.4% of the vote, 13.7 points ahead of Fatima Aboubakr (PQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline De Guire | QLP | 12,034 | 36.4% |
| Fatima Aboubakr | PQ | 7,506 | 22.7% |
| Sabrina Di Matteo | QS | 5,339 | 16.1% |
| Ronny Niro | PCQ | 3,888 | 11.8% |
| Vincent Bolduc | CAQ | 3,875 | 11.7% |
| Patrick Truong | Other | 352 | 1.1% |
| Shawn Lalande McLean | Other | 81 | 0.2% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 99% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QLP | 46.1% | 36.4% | −9.8 |
| PQ | 24.4% | 22.7% | −1.7 |
| QS | 11.1% | 16.1% | +5.0 |
| PCQ | 13.1% | 11.8% | −1.4 |
| CAQ | 3.8% | 11.7% | +7.9 |
| Other | 1.4% | 1.3% | −0.1 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 31% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 18.9% Rank 107 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 31% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +17% 2022: 16.1% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 32 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (61.2%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QLP | PQ | PCQ | QS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laval-des-Rapides | 46.2% | 24.4% | 13.1% | 11.1% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8%+21.4 | 28.7%−4.3 | 20.2%−7.1 | 10.9%+0.3 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The CAQ won by 3.5 points, with 61.2% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 21.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Céline Haytayan Elected | CAQ | 10,599 | 31.7 |
| Saul Polo | QLP | 9,546 | 28.5 |
| Josée Chevalier | QS | 5,542 | 16.6 |
| Andréanne Fiola | PQ | 4,293 | 12.8 |
| Nicolas Lussier-Clément | PCQ | 2,852 | 8.5 |
| Zied Damergi | Other | 398 | 1.2 |
| Other candidates | 248 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Acadie QLP, safe seat
- Maurice-Richard PQ, toss-up
- Chomedey QLP, safe seat
- Vimont-Auteuil QLP, safe seat
- Saint-Laurent QLP, safe seat
- Bourassa-Sauvé QLP, safe seat
- Forecast updated