Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Bourassa-Sauvé

Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal

October 5, 2026 result

Madwa-Nika Cadet (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 47.4% of the vote, 30.6 points ahead of Mara Hermione Pierre (QS).

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Madwa-Nika Cadet QLP 10,428 47.4%
Mara Hermione Pierre QS 3,689 16.8%
Edline Henri PQ 3,595 16.4%
Ismaila Marega PCQ 2,074 9.4%
Isabelle Lamy CAQ 2,063 9.4%
Joseph Wa Ngoie Ngoie Other 135 0.6%

Preliminary results, 149 of 149 polls, retrieved October 6, 2026 · Turnout: 50.9% · Official source

Our forecast before the vote

We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.

PartyForecastResultGap
QLP 52.9% 47.4% −5.4
QS 11.1% 16.8% +5.7
PQ 16.6% 16.4% −0.3
PCQ 13.5% 9.4% −4.1
CAQ 4.5% 9.4% +4.9
Other 1.4% 0.6% −0.8

Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.

Advance voting · September 27 and 28

About 25% of votes were cast in advance

Registered electors who voted
13.6%
Rank 125 of 127
Quebec average
23.6%
Estimated share of votes already cast
≈ 25%
Quebec: about 36%
Compared with 2022
+8%
2022: 12.6% · Quebec: +12%

Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here about as much as across Quebec.

Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (53.5%). See all 127 ridings

Compared with the average

QLP PQ PCQ QS
Bourassa-Sauvé 52.9%16.6%13.5%11.1%
Provincial averageQuebec 24.8%+28.1 28.7%−12.1 20.2%−6.7 10.9%+0.2

Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election (2022)

The Quebec Liberals won by 15.1 points, with 53.5% turnout.

Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 34.9 points.

Candidates and votes in 2022

Candidate Party Votes %
Madwa-Nika Cadet Elected QLP 9,704 40.1
Absa Diallo CAQ 6,049 25.0
Ricardo Gustave QS 3,737 15.5
Carmel-Antoine Bessard PCQ 2,161 8.9
Zacharie Robitaille PQ 2,101 8.7
Omar Ahmed Other 266 1.1
Smaille Toussaint Other 94 0.4
Shawn Lalande McLean Other 70 0.3

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated