Mille-Îles
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Virginie Dufour (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 44.3% of the vote, 22.6 points ahead of Mathieu Trottier-Kavanagh (PQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginie Dufour | QLP | 14,512 | 44.3% |
| Mathieu Trottier-Kavanagh | PQ | 7,104 | 21.7% |
| Nare Stepanyan | PCQ | 4,139 | 12.6% |
| Zachary Robert | QS | 3,768 | 11.5% |
| Sonia Amedome | CAQ | 3,111 | 9.5% |
| Ludovic Mbany | Other | 131 | 0.4% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QLP | 49.6% | 44.3% | −5.3 |
| PQ | 22.3% | 21.7% | −0.6 |
| PCQ | 14.4% | 12.6% | −1.8 |
| QS | 8.6% | 11.5% | +2.9 |
| CAQ | 3.8% | 9.5% | +5.7 |
| Other | 1.3% | 0.4% | −0.9 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 33% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 22.2% Rank 77 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 33% Quebec: about 36%
Mille-Îles's boundaries changed too much since 2022 to compare rates.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (66.9%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QLP | PQ | PCQ | QS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mille-Îles | 49.6% | 22.3% | 14.4% | 8.6% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8%+24.8 | 28.7%−6.4 | 20.2%−5.8 | 10.9%−2.3 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The Quebec Liberals won by 1.5 points, with 66.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 26.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginie Dufour Elected | QLP | 9,522 | 32.3 |
| Julie Séide | CAQ | 9,097 | 30.9 |
| Guillaume Lajoie | QS | 3,789 | 12.9 |
| Michel Lachance | PQ | 3,551 | 12.1 |
| Ange Claude Bigilimana | PCQ | 3,105 | 10.5 |
| Bianca Jitaru | Other | 346 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bourassa-Sauvé QLP, safe seat
- Terrebonne PQ, safe seat
- Jeanne-Mance–Viger QLP, safe seat
- LaFontaine QLP, safe seat
- Viau QLP, safe seat
- Maurice-Richard PQ, toss-up
- Forecast updated