LaFontaine
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Marc Tanguay (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 58.9% of the vote, 45.4 points ahead of Andréanne Bareil (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Tanguay | QLP | 14,893 | 58.9% |
| Andréanne Bareil | PCQ | 3,418 | 13.5% |
| Joyd Rolkins Daréus | PQ | 2,654 | 10.5% |
| Kim Fontaine | QS | 2,448 | 9.7% |
| Guepsly Florvil | CAQ | 1,514 | 6.0% |
| Giovanni Manfredi | Other | 220 | 0.9% |
| David Cox | Other | 156 | 0.6% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QLP | 61.4% | 58.9% | −2.5 |
| PCQ | 18.0% | 13.5% | −4.5 |
| PQ | 8.8% | 10.5% | +1.7 |
| QS | 4.9% | 9.7% | +4.7 |
| CAQ | 5.8% | 6.0% | +0.2 |
| Other | 1.1% | 1.5% | +0.4 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 32% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 20.0% Rank 100 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 32% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +19% 2022: 16.8% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 25 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (62.3%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QLP | PCQ | PQ | CAQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaFontaine | 61.4% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8%+36.6 | 20.2%−2.2 | 28.7%−19.9 | 13.9%−8.1 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The Quebec Liberals won by 31.7 points, with 62.3% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 43.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Tanguay Elected | QLP | 13,398 | 51.7 |
| Loredana Bacchi | CAQ | 5,189 | 20.0 |
| Yassir Madih | PCQ | 3,406 | 13.1 |
| Anne B-Godbout | QS | 2,301 | 8.9 |
| Shawn Vermette-Tassoni | PQ | 1,322 | 5.1 |
| Quinn Brunet | Other | 313 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Pointe-aux-Trembles PQ, safe seat
- Anjou-Louis-Riel QLP, safe seat
- Camille-Laurin PQ, safe seat
- Jeanne-Mance–Viger QLP, safe seat
- Mille-Îles QLP, safe seat
- Bourassa-Sauvé QLP, safe seat
- Forecast updated