D'Arcy-McGee
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Elisabeth Prass (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 60.8% of the vote, 41.1 points ahead of Adrien Pouliot (PCQ).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elisabeth Prass | QLP | 16,447 | 60.8% |
| Adrien Pouliot | PCQ | 5,328 | 19.7% |
| Lucian Costin | QS | 2,703 | 10.0% |
| Maïté Larouche | PQ | 1,056 | 3.9% |
| Junlian Leblanc | CAQ | 694 | 2.6% |
| Joyce Stoliar Shanks | Other | 439 | 1.6% |
| Gavin Zheng | Other | 246 | 0.9% |
| Diane Johnston | Other | 83 | 0.3% |
| Guillaume Massie-Hamel | Other | 72 | 0.3% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QLP | 53.6% | 60.8% | +7.1 |
| PCQ | 27.6% | 19.7% | −7.9 |
| QS | 1.9% | 10.0% | +8.1 |
| PQ | 2.6% | 3.9% | +1.3 |
| Other | 7.9% | 3.1% | −4.8 |
| CAQ | 6.4% | 2.6% | −3.9 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 30% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 14.0% Rank 120 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 30% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +51% 2022: 9.3% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 4 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (47.5%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QLP | PCQ | Other | CAQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Arcy-McGee | 53.6% | 27.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8%+28.8 | 20.2%+7.4 | 1.5%+6.4 | 13.9%−7.5 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The Quebec Liberals won by 29.5 points, with 47.5% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 26.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elisabeth Prass Elected | QLP | 13,298 | 51.4 |
| Bonnie Feigenbaum | PCQ | 5,677 | 21.9 |
| Hilal Pilavci | QS | 2,203 | 8.5 |
| Junlian Leblanc | CAQ | 1,529 | 5.9 |
| Marc Perez | Other | 1,285 | 5.0 |
| Renée-Claude Lafontaine | PQ | 648 | 2.5 |
| Joel Debellefeuille | Other | 613 | 2.4 |
| Moussa Seck | Other | 547 | 2.1 |
| Diane Johnston | Other | 66 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Notre-Dame-de-Grâce QLP, safe seat
- Mont-Royal–Outremont QLP, safe seat
- Marguerite-Bourgeoys QLP, safe seat
- Laurier-Dorion QS, competitive
- Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne QLP, safe seat
- Westmount–Saint-Louis QLP, safe seat
- Forecast updated