Notre-Dame-de-Grâce
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Désirée McGraw (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 61.1% of the vote, 43.3 points ahead of Élise Davignon (QS).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Désirée McGraw | QLP | 16,355 | 61.1% |
| Élise Davignon | QS | 4,761 | 17.8% |
| Guillaume St-Pierre | PCQ | 2,126 | 7.9% |
| Vincent Hubert | PQ | 1,586 | 5.9% |
| Kaan Altintas | CAQ | 767 | 2.9% |
| Alex Tyrrell | Other | 679 | 2.5% |
| Christian Turgeon | Other | 356 | 1.3% |
| Rachel Hoffman | Other | 93 | 0.3% |
| Ivan Byard | Other | 63 | 0.2% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QLP | 54.4% | 61.1% | +6.6 |
| QS | 7.4% | 17.8% | +10.4 |
| PCQ | 12.5% | 7.9% | −4.5 |
| PQ | 7.8% | 5.9% | −1.8 |
| Other | 10.9% | 4.5% | −6.4 |
| CAQ | 7.0% | 2.9% | −4.2 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 29% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 16.3% Rank 115 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 29% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +26% 2022: 12.9% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 7 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (55.8%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QLP | PCQ | Other | PQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre-Dame-de-Grâce | 54.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 7.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8%+29.7 | 20.2%−7.7 | 1.5%+9.4 | 28.7%−21.0 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The Quebec Liberals won by 35.0 points, with 55.8% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 40.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Désirée McGraw Elected | QLP | 12,918 | 50.5 |
| Élisabeth Labelle | QS | 3,967 | 15.5 |
| Roy Eappen | PCQ | 2,087 | 8.2 |
| Geneviève Lemay | CAQ | 1,877 | 7.3 |
| Balarama Holness | Other | 1,701 | 6.6 |
| Cloé Rose Jenneau | PQ | 1,302 | 5.1 |
| Alex Tyrrell | Other | 956 | 3.7 |
| Constantine Eliadis | Other | 723 | 2.8 |
| Rachel Hoffman | Other | 71 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- D'Arcy-McGee QLP, safe seat
- Marguerite-Bourgeoys QLP, safe seat
- Mont-Royal–Outremont QLP, safe seat
- Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne QLP, safe seat
- Westmount–Saint-Louis QLP, safe seat
- Laurier-Dorion QS, competitive
- Forecast updated