Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Benoit Clermont (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 37.0% of the vote, 0.1 points ahead of Guillaume Cliche-Rivard (QS).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benoit Clermont | QLP | 13,340 | 37.0% |
| Guillaume Cliche-Rivard | QS | 13,301 | 36.9% |
| Caroline Julie Fortin | PQ | 4,739 | 13.1% |
| Edouard Stephan Valdescault | PCQ | 2,631 | 7.3% |
| Anthony Lavoie | CAQ | 1,563 | 4.3% |
| Jean-Pierre Duford | Other | 386 | 1.1% |
| Laura Champagne | Other | 137 | 0.4% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
On the eve of the vote, the Polymarket market had Benoit Clermont (QLP) winning at 71%: it got it right. Polymarket
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QLP | 45.0% | 37.0% | −8.0 |
| QS | 20.1% | 36.9% | +16.7 |
| PQ | 17.1% | 13.1% | −4.0 |
| PCQ | 10.3% | 7.3% | −3.0 |
| CAQ | 4.5% | 4.3% | −0.2 |
| Other | 3.0% | 1.5% | −1.5 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 36% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 20.8% Rank 92 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 36% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- +19% 2022: 17.5% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here more than across Quebec (increase ranked 24 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a stronger-than-expected rise mostly signalled higher overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (57.8%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QLP | QS | PQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | 45.0% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 10.3% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8%+20.2 | 10.9%+9.3 | 28.7%−11.6 | 20.2%−9.9 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The Quebec Liberals won by 8.4 points, with 57.8% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 23.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Anglade Elected | QLP | 11,728 | 36.2 |
| Guillaume Cliche-Rivard | QS | 8,992 | 27.7 |
| Nicolas Huard-Isabelle | CAQ | 5,751 | 17.7 |
| Julie Daubois | PQ | 2,683 | 8.3 |
| Mischa White | PCQ | 2,063 | 6.4 |
| Jean-Pierre Duford | Other | 620 | 1.9 |
| Janusz Kaczorowski | Other | 530 | 1.6 |
| Esther Gaudreault | Other | 73 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Westmount–Saint-Louis QLP, safe seat
- Verdun QLP, safe seat
- Marguerite-Bourgeoys QLP, safe seat
- Notre-Dame-de-Grâce QLP, safe seat
- Sainte-Marie-Saint-Jacques QS, competitive
- Mont-Royal–Outremont QLP, safe seat
- Forecast updated