Mont-Royal–Outremont
Provincial riding · Quebec · Montreal
October 5, 2026 result
Michelle Setlakwe (Quebec Liberal Party) wins with 50.9% of the vote, 30.1 points ahead of Marianne Locas-Ouimet (QS).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Setlakwe | QLP | 16,106 | 50.9% |
| Marianne Locas-Ouimet | QS | 6,587 | 20.8% |
| Ariane Bureau | PQ | 3,724 | 11.8% |
| Yaron Avsker | PCQ | 2,866 | 9.1% |
| Sarah Beaumier | CAQ | 1,665 | 5.3% |
| Mathias Mackowiak | Other | 448 | 1.4% |
| Sonia Moscote | Other | 160 | 0.5% |
| Gia Rose | Other | 99 | 0.3% |
Our forecast before the vote
We had the Quebec Liberals favoured at 100% (forecast of October 4, 2026): the call held.
| Party | Forecast | Result | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| QLP | 47.6% | 50.9% | +3.3 |
| QS | 13.3% | 20.8% | +7.5 |
| PQ | 18.8% | 11.8% | −7.0 |
| PCQ | 12.0% | 9.1% | −2.9 |
| CAQ | 4.8% | 5.3% | +0.5 |
| Other | 3.6% | 2.2% | −1.4 |
Next general election scheduled for October 7, 2030.
Advance voting · September 27 and 28
About 28% of votes were cast in advance
- Registered electors who voted
- 14.8% Rank 118 of 127
- Quebec average
- 23.6%
- Estimated share of votes already cast
- ≈ 28% Quebec: about 36%
- Compared with 2022
- −7% 2022: 15.9% · Quebec: +12%
Compared with 2022, advance voting rose here less than across Quebec (increase ranked 108 of 108 comparable ridings). In past elections, a weaker-than-expected rise mostly signalled lower overall turnout, not a winner.
Preliminary data from Élections Québec, subject to revision. The estimated share divides the rate by the riding's 2022 turnout (53.7%). See all 127 ridings
Compared with the average
| QLP | PQ | QS | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mont-Royal–Outremont | 47.6% | 18.8% | 13.3% | 12.0% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8%+22.8 | 28.7%−10.0 | 10.9%+2.4 | 20.2%−8.2 |
Simple average of the 127 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election (2022)
The Quebec Liberals won by 19.1 points, with 53.7% turnout.
Our current projection: the Quebec Liberals ahead by 28.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2022
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Setlakwe Elected | QLP | 11,658 | 39.4 |
| Isabelle Leblanc | QS | 6,008 | 20.3 |
| Sarah Beaumier | CAQ | 4,677 | 15.8 |
| Ophélie Bastien | PQ | 3,385 | 11.4 |
| Sabrina Ait Akil | PCQ | 2,522 | 8.5 |
| Malik Guelmi | Other | 785 | 2.7 |
| Anne Goldberg Harrison | Other | 507 | 1.7 |
| David A Cherniak | Other | 87 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- D'Arcy-McGee QLP, safe seat
- Laurier-Dorion QS, competitive
- Notre-Dame-de-Grâce QLP, safe seat
- Westmount–Saint-Louis QLP, safe seat
- Gouin QS, safe seat
- Mercier QS, safe seat
- Forecast updated